Jan 15, 2013 4:00pm EST
bullish on u.s. equities and one of the main reasons i am the u.s. energy story which i think is a story that's not being told as well as it should be. in 2012 the u.s. oil production was up 16%. that was the biggest year over year increase in u.s. oil production since 18 at which just happens to be when we started producing oil so if we think about what's going on. we have right now -- right now we produce oil at 80%, the same price the rest of the world does. we produce natural gas at 25% of the price the rest of the world does. we have cheap energy here in the united states and we feel that will drive manufacturing back to the united states, create jobs, and when all this political stuff is over, that's going to be a big story that we'll talk about ten years from now. >> these are long-term projects. these happen over a long period of time. i think the point that rex is making we'll see a sizable decline, maybe not sizable, i don't know what kind of size you're expecting because of all the wranglings in washington. what you're talking about, ed, is an opportunity for businesses and wa
Jan 16, 2013 4:00pm EST
driving earning as well as the economy. autos, housing, manufacturing and energy. we think the private recovery gdp could be 3%, offset by fiscal headwinds in the government, but we think it's a pretty good backdrop and seeing lots to do. travel all the time. been in europe and asia, there's some things we're very excited about that we're partnering with our clients, and i think we'll make good money. >> you also talk about being overweight real assets. what do you mean by real esas? >> one thing in our energy group, one of the pioneers in this group, going to the energy companies and also buying wells and oil in the ground so i would think about it ahead of our group who likes to say we're creating bonds in the ground so oil where you get a yield and inflation protection and growth. that's hard to match when you think about a tip security where you actually have to pay for the yield, so that's been a very exciting area. same thing in real estate. we've been doing a lot with the firm's balance sheet. one thing we try to eat what we're cooking and have almost a $7 billion balance sheet.
Jan 17, 2013 4:00pm EST
. energy is doing pretty well. we see some manufacturing, but to be honest about it, the recovery is still not as strong as it needs to be. there's still too much uncertainty, and there needs to be more clarify for the economy to take off. >> a really important point because i think businesses are, you know, shaping up and are currently in great shape in terms of cash on balance sheets. >> terrific. >> so they have the potential to put money to work, although that uncertainty factor is really keeping them from doing so. >> in fact, corporate balance sheets have never been better. liquidity, cash, we've grown 300 billion in core deposits in four years. you know, consumer balance sheets. even though the debt hasn't come down that much because interest rates are so low, the interest carries. the debt service is back to 1998 or 1990 so there's great capacity to invest, to hire, to grow, to buy things, but this uncertainty thing puts a real cloud on things otherwise people would do. they are putting them in abeyance. >> i'm going to get back to that. a real issue. want to get your take on solut
Jan 18, 2013 4:00pm EST
, maria, the important things is all the moves into cyclical names. energy and industrial stocks all moving. back to you. >> thanks, bob. a lot more coming up on this jam-packed edition of the "closing bell." 80 companies will post earnings next week. despite the shorter week, a lot of them big-name technology companies. a panel of market pros will tell us how they expect this to drive the market and later, asleep at the wheel. the fed releasing transcripts from emergency meetings in 2007 as the crisis was just beginning, and, boy, did they miss the big picture. the story coming up. also ahead. holy car auction! the batmobile from the popular 1960s tv series hits the black this weekend. our robert frank on the lowdown with how high the bidding could go. which batmobile would you buy right now? we'll reveal the most popular coming up. i'd say you've got to go with adam west or michael keaton, my two favorites. what is your favorite? back in a moment. e >>> welcome back. another blockbuster week of earnings ahead. kayla tausche running through the roster to determine if the rally could